Saturday, May 02, 2020

Notice of four hours, consequence for years.

"India can be the destination of choice for global manufacturing in the post-Covid 19 world if it gets its act together with the right policies as a lot of things are going for this country, say industry experts." "We have the people, the demographics, ability to skill our people very,very quickly. We have democracy, we have a lot of things going for us," said a top executive of a company, afraid to disclose his identity in this citadel of democracy. "I won't return to Delhi once I reach home. I don't care about the extra money," said "47-year-old Asha Devi, who sold tea in Preet Vihar and earned four times what she did in her village in Bihar". There are 4 million migrant workers in Delhi, "And worryingly, the assertions of the distressed people never to return to the city worries experts how an economic revival can be achieved without them." Chief Ministers of Karnataka and Telangana have appealed to workers to stay back, worried about a shortage of labor once they start opening their economies. A total lockdown was announced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi at 8 pm on 24 March, giving people just four hours notice to prepare. When trains and buses stopped running, trapping migrant laborers in cities with no jobs and no money, tens of thousands resorted to walking back to their villages hundreds of miles away, to avoid starvation. "Uttar Pradesh has embarked on a mammoth exercise involving thousands of buses, and which could last up to two weeks, to bring back 1 million of its residents, mostly migrant workers stuck in other states since March 25, when a national lockdown was enforced to fight the spread of Covid-19, officials familiar with the plan said." Modi apologized for his action, saying, "It is a battle of life and death and we have to win it." But, for the poor, fearing starvation for their families, it did not improve their situation. Modi has a history of a dramatic announcement severely affecting the quality of our lives when he announced demonetization of Rs 1,000 and Rs 500 notes with four hours notice. At that time the poor were happy because they believed that the rich would lose vast amounts of cash on which they had not paid any tax. Called 'black money' in India. Even though it was the poor who suffered the most because they earn their daily wages in cash. Two years after demonetization farmers and rural workers were still suffering. Growth has been falling and unemployment rising since 2016 and the virus lockdown has just made matters infinitely worse. The textile hub in Tiruppur in Tamil Nadu. which exported worth Rs 260 billion last year, is at a standstill because overseas orders have dried up and the lockdown has closed all mills. Migrant workers can be enticed back to work with large cash rewards, which will bankrupt companies, or forced to return by stopping their subsidies and food support, which will cause starvation. Over to PM Modi.    

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