Thursday, May 14, 2020

It is going to get very interesting.

The Republican Party won two special elections to the House of Representatives in the US this week. State Senator Tom Tiffany won in Wisconsin's 7th District which Trump had won by 20 points in 2016. In California, Republican Mike Garcia won in suburban Los Angeles, flipping a seat held by Democrats for more than two decades. What these results in the midst of a virus pandemic augur for the presidential election on 3 November 2020 no one can tell. As things stand at present, President Donald Trump will be taking on Democrat Joe Biden who was Vice President to President Barack Obama. "Nearly eight years after he was last on the ballot, Barack Obama is emerging as a central figure in the 2020 presidential election" and Democrats are eagerly embracing him to bring in votes. In a recent private conference call, Obama criticized Trump's handling of the coronavirus crisis as "an absolute chaotic disaster". Obama is the third Democrat president to speak against his successor, two Republicans have also done so. Obama made the 2016 presidential election a referendum on his legacy and was rejected by American voters. "My name may not be on the ballot, but our progress is on the ballot," Obama told a gathering of black leaders in September, in a formulation he would deliver repeatedly throughout the fall as he stumped for Clinton." Hilary Clinton lost at least four states that Obama won twice. "During President Obama's first year in office, Democrats held the vast majority of both state house and senate seats and had 28 sitting governors, compared to only 22 Republicans," wrote Newt Gingrich. By the end, the Republicans held "over 4,100 out of 7,383 state legislative seats, the most since the 1920s", controlled both legislative chambers in 32 states, and had 31 governors, compared to just 18 for Democrats. So, why does Biden need Obama? Because of Tara Reade. "Tara Reade, who worked for the former US vice-president nearly 30 years ago, says he sexually assaulted her in the halls of the Congress." Biden has denied the accusation "unequivocally". "Acquaintances of Ms Reade have said she confided in them after the alleged assault." She has recently asked Biden to step down from the race. "Several prominent Democratic women have voiced their support for former Vice President Joe Biden as he faces a sexual assault allegation by his former Senate staffer Tara Reade." An irked Fox News wrote how Christine Blasey Ford could not produce any witness to corroborate her accusation against Judge Brett Kavanaugh but the media and Democrats went berserk. They are silent now. All those named by Ford, including her friend Leyland Ingham Keyser, denied being at such a party. Virus, economy and Reade, it's going to be interesting.

No comments: