Saturday, February 29, 2020

Will a virus prevent a world war?

"The US and the Taliban have signed an 'agreement for bringing peace' to Afghanistan after more than 18 years of conflict. The US and Nato allies have agreed to withdraw all troops within 14 months if the militants uphold the deal." "Under the agreement, the militants also agreed not to allow Al Qaeda or any other extremist group to operate in the areas they control." "I do believe the Taliban wants to do something to show we're not all wasting time," said US President Donald Trump. It may not be a clear victory for the Taliban but it is certainly a defeat for the US belief that it could defeat the Taliban militarily. The US had to negotiate directly with the Taliban who refused to talk to the elected Afghan government, which it sees as a puppet regime. While not a direct puppet of Pakistan, the Taliban is supported, sheltered and armed by the Pakistani army. Pakistan wants a pliable government in Afghanistan which would give it control over trade routes to central Asian countries and the entire border with Iran. Controlled peace in Afghanistan will allow Pakistan to devote all its resources to supporting terrorism in Kashmir, where Pakistan wants to slowly destroy India by a "thousand cuts". On 14 November 2019, Pakistan Prime Minister said his country will not fight wars for others. But, at least it got paid for those wars, but fighting its own wars have been disastrous, wrote Khaled Ahmed. However, just as there is a glimmer of hope of for peace in Afghanistan, there could be a huge war brewing in the Middle East where Turkey has invaded Northern Syria partly to divert attention of its citizens from the economy and partly to wipe out Kurds who are hated by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. While Erdogan supported ISIS, the Kurds were the main fighters on the ground while the US provided air support. When the ISIS was defeated the US betrayed the Kurds by withdrawing its troops and leaving them at the mercy of Erdogan. Encouraged by the craven flight of the US, Erdogan has vowed to fight the Syrian Army's advance into Idlib province. Bombing by Syrian planes killed 33 Turkish soldiers in Idlib. Turkey blamed Russia for the bombing and as a member of Nato wanted to activate Article 5 which compels Nato partners to defend it with their armed forces. In 2015, Erdogan tried to instigate war between Nato and Russia by shooting down a Russian SU-24 for apparently entering Turkish airspace for 17 seconds. Erdogan had to eat humble pie before President Putin agreed to lift economic sanctions against Turkey. In an effort to force Europe to support his designs Erdogan has opened his borders, allowing thousands of refugees to travel to Europe. Will the US surrender to Erdogan, like it has surrendered to Pakistan? Maybe the Coronavirus will prevent war by stopping movement of soldiers. A deadly virus as savior?

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