Monday, January 22, 2024

Iran is the brain.

"Iran launched attacks in Pakistan...targeting what it described as bases for the militant group Jaish al-Adl in the border town of Panjgur in Balochistan, the Iranian state media reported, prompting strong condemnation from Islamabad." Dawn. In retaliation, "Pakistan has launched missile strikes into Iran, killing nine people, after Iran carried out strikes in Pakistan." BBC. A few days back, "Iran-backed militants launched ballistic missiles at a base housing US troops in Iraq, causing one Iraqi and possible American casualties, the US Central Command said." TOI. How can militants, essentially a bunch of sadistic thugs, get hold of ballistic missiles? Clearly they were supplied by Iran. Iran has developed a number of proxy forces throughout the Middle East. "Acting through proxies is a method of eluding responsibility; for instance, Hamas's October 2023 assault on Israel showed signs of coordination with Iran, and amid the ensuing Israel-Hamas war, US officials blamed suspected proxy forces of Iran for attacks that injured dozens of troops on US military bases in Iraq and Syria. Washington also said support from Tehran enabled Yemen's rebel Houthi movement to fire missiles toward Israel and attack commercial ships with alleged Israeli ties in the Red Sea." CFR. On 16 January, US Navy Seals "boarded a traditional dhow sailing vessel near the coast of Somalia in international waters of the Arabian Sea, seizing Iranian-made ballistic missile and cruise missile components, including propulsion, guidance, and warheads for Houthi medium range ballistic missiles and anti-ship cruise missiles, according to a statement from US Central Command." VOA. On the same day, "With its strikes in Syria and Iraq, Iran has sought to 'flex its muscles' in the fallout of the Israeli-Hamas war without provoking a confrontation with the United States, analysts said." "The official IRNA news agency said the Syria attack was the 'longest missile launch by Iran with a range of 1,200 kilometers (750 miles)' that can be interpreted as a direct message to Israel." ET. In May 2020, "Iran's Supreme Leader...called Israel a 'cancerous tumor' that 'will undoubtedly be uprooted and destroyed' in an annual speech in support of Palestinians." AP. "In December, "A drone attack by an Iran-affiliated terrorist group on a military base in Iraq...left three US service members wounded, the Pentagon said, and prompted President Biden to order retaliatory strikes." CBS. So how far would Iran go? "Iran's nuclear program has reached the point at which, within three weeks, Iran might be able to enrich enough uranium for five fission weapons." Iran Watch. If the Houthis or Hamas are in danger of being defeated, will Iran supply them with nuclear warheads for their missiles? If a rogue state like China supplies Iranian proxies like Hezbollah with low-grade nuclear weapons will the US or Israel respond with nuclear strikes of their own? In 2015, "The White House...denied a Kuwaiti report that US President Barack Obama had threatened to shoot down Israeli jets heading toward Iran." Times of Israel. A sizable number of Democrats are against Israel (The Hill) and Biden was Vice President to Obama. Can Iran stop its proxies from a suicide mission? Will Israel retaliate with its own nuclear weapons? Will China worsen the situation to divert the US and attack Taiwan? And, Biden is in charge till November.    

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