Saturday, June 24, 2023

Jugalbandi of A-I.

"Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Joe Biden's 'jugalbandi' in Washington has inaugurated a new age of America-India relations. As the prime minister put it during his address to the joint session of the US Congress: 'In the past few years, there have been many advances in AI - Artificial Intelligence. At the same time there have been more momentous developments in another AI - America and India'." News18. From GE F-414 jet engines to MQ-9B UAVs, Micron Technology and Applied Materials Inc., the US seems to have emptied its pockets for Modi. But, what does it want in return? "Geopolitics determines trust, strategy and future economics," wrote Indrani Bagchi. "For the US, as it struggles to emerge from its China-induced torpor," "The Quad is only the beginning." The Quad, or the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, is a security dialogue between Australia, India, Japan and the US to counter increasing military threats by China. wikipedia. The Quad Leaders' Joint Statement on 20 May, 2023 said, "We believe all countries have a role in contributing to regional peace, stability and prosperity, as well as upholding international law, including the principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity, and the rules-based international order." The White House. In short, China will get a bloody nose if it attacks any country. At first China was dismissive. "It seems there is never a shortage of headline-grabbing ideas," Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said. "They are like the sea foam in the Pacific or Indian Ocean: they may get some attention, but soon will dissipate." CNN. But later, he called the Quad an "Indo-Pacific NATO" and accused it of "trumpeting the Cold War mentality" and "stoking geo-political rivalry". Beijing worries that "A distributed network of land-based anti-ship missiles and other precision-strike capabilities stationed in allied countries could hinder Beijing's ability to threaten Taiwan" "But the worst-case scenario from Beijing's perspective is that the Quad could serve as the foundation of a broader global anti-China coalition," wrote known sinophile Kevin Rudd. "The current geopolitical situation needs closer India-US relationship and a more robust Quad. India may not join the war in the Taiwan Strait. But if it can keep China occupied in the Himalayas and the Indian Ocean, it would have done its bit to preserve global order," wrote Bagchi. That would mean the loss of thousands of Indian soldiers and huge damage of infrastructure as China would retaliate. Remember US support of Iraq against Iran? "A half million lives were lost, perhaps another million injured. The economic cost of the war exceeded one trillion dollars." Brookings. And then, in the greatest act of stupidity, the US removed Saddam Hussein and "Rather than serving as an anchor for a new era of stability and American preeminence in the Persian Gulf, the new Iraq represents a strategic black hole, bleeding Washington of military resources and political influence while extending Iran's primacy among its neighbors." Brookings. The Quad may be a beginning, but what will the end be? A quagmire?

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