Sunday, December 22, 2019

Winning was easy. Now for the hard part.

The Conservative Party, led by Prime Minister Boris Johnson won the general election in UK on 12 December by a huge majority. "This means the Conservatives will have their biggest majority at Westminster since Margaret Thatcher's 1987 election victory." It was as much a disaster for the Labour Party which lost traditional strongholds that had voted Labour for decades. Labour MPs who lost their seats blamed their leader Jeremy Corbyn for the disaster. According to YouGov, 35% of people approve of Boris Johnson, while 47% of people disapprove of him, giving him a negative approval rating. "He has a reputation as an untrustworthy buffoon and an even more sinister history of racism: He has compared women in burkas to 'letterboxes' and claimed that Muslim immigrants lack 'loyalty to Britain' because of their religion: 'Islam is the problem,' as he put it. He once penned a column describing Africans as 'pickaninnies' with 'watermelon smiles'." wrote Zack Beauchamp. He won because Corbyn was even more unpopular so that "While Johnson at minus 12 in the YouGov approval rating polling, Corbyn was at negative 40." Corbyn was blamed for anti-Semitism in the Labour Party and his refusal to apologize for it. Indians blamed him "for his anti-India and anti-Hindu stance after towing Pakistan's line over Kashmir in the aftermath of the Article 370 abolition". North of the border the Scottish National Party (SNP) won "48 seats after securing 45% of the vote -- 8.1% more than in the last general election in 2017, when it won 35 seats". Labour was virtually wiped out. The Scots are against Brexit and leader of SNP Nicola Sturgeon claimed the resounding victory as support for her demand for a referendum on independence from the United Kingdom. A previous referendum on independence in 2014 was heavily rejected by the Scots by 55% to 45%. Johnson has clearly indicated his opposition to another referendum in Scotland. Soon after results came in the Brexit bill was passed by the House of Commons and Johnson has promised to take Britain out of the European Union (EU) by 31 January. To make Brexit binding, Johnson intends to pass a bill limiting the transition period of negotiating a trade deal with the EU till 31 December 2020. During the transition period Britain will follow EU rules on trade and continue to contribute to the EU's budget. Johnson believes that leaving the EU will save 350 million pounds per week which can be spent on the National Health Service (NHS). At the same time Johnson wants a free trade deal with Europe, with free movement of goods and people. Whether the EU will want to be seen to be encouraging Brexit with a sweet deal for Britain, which may encourage other nations to leave, remains to be seen. If the time proves too short for negotiating a deal is Johnson prepared to take Britain out without a deal, with a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland and immigration and customs check in both directions? The hard part starts now. 

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