Monday, February 25, 2019

There is nothing to fear from Pakistan's threats.

Indian Air Force jets apparently bombed targets within Pakistan at 4 o'clock this morning. "The Pakistani military claimed that an Indian jet dropped a payload (bomb) at Balakot without causing damage. Balakot is located well within Pakistan and not in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir." This is partly confirmed by the fall in the Bombay Stock Exchange the Sensex by around 350 points. On Valentine's Day a suicide bomber used a car bomb to kill 40 soldiers of the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) in Kashmir. Most Indian pundits have been against any military retaliation by India. GK Pillai wrote, "I don't think war is an option for India right now." He recommends winning hearts and minds of local Kashmiris by giving a portion of the state budget to Panchayats, which are elected bodies managing village affairs. "India does not have the capability, capacity and political will for war," wrote P Sawhney. He thinks that China will immediately take Pakistan's side and will open another front, leading to a defeat for India. A war results when armed forces of both sides use full force and are willing to take heavy casualties. Having lost every war with India, it is unlikely that Pakistan's army is going to risk another humiliation. Hence, it has been using the threat of nuclear weapons as a first response to any attack by India. "We should pray that such an option never arises, but if we need to use them (nuclear weapons) we will," said Defense Minister Khwaja Asif in 2017. That is absolute rubbish. Because the possibility of Mutually Assured Destruction has kept peace between superpowers for over 60 years. The Pakistani army is totally corrupt and the generals are hardly going to risk their lavish lifestyles by inviting a nuclear counterstrike by India. In a mocking response to the terrorist attack on CRPF, Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan advised Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to "give peace a chance" and said that he would act immediately if India provided "actionable intelligence". "In his speech, Khan was eager to cut to the chase and suggest that cracking down on the Jaish-e-Mahammad or Lashkar-e-Taiba is not going to happen just because India wants it," wrote Pakistani analyst Ayesha Siddiqua. She suggested that Pakistan is so important to global powers that India will never be able to isolate it diplomatically. Siddiqua's chutzpah is not surprising when Indian R Kumar held the actions of the Indian government responsible for terrorism. Pakistan will continue to use terrorists because India has no options, wrote Prof CC Fair. Pakistan has used various cards, from its Muslim identity to terrorism to its close relations with China and Saudi Arabia, but India will ultimately triumph through economic growth, wrote C Rajghatta. "Nearly, ten times the size of Pakistan's economy, India is adding one Pakistan to its GDP each year, and will have an economy 40 times larger by 2050." Every pundit is sure that India can do nothing against Pakistan. Actually, it is Pakistan which can do nothing. 

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