Saturday, September 24, 2016

There can be no ceasefire without trust. And there is no trust.

ISIS and Al Qaeda are a bunch of fanatics, Bashar al-Assad is a bloodthirsty dictator and Putin is a former KGB agent, but the US and Britain are very good. Got it. The US and Russia reached a ceasefire deal in Syria which came into effect on 12 September. The Syrian conflict is going on since 2011 and the Sunni rebels have been supported by Saudi Arabia against an Alawi government. The US and its allies have been supplying a mythical Free Syrian Army which was supposed to be the 'good terrorists' as opposed to Jabhat al-Nusra and ISIS who are bad terrorists. The open support for rebels by Sunni Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey naturally drew Shia Iran and Hezbollah to the aid of Assad. Meanwhile ISIS, which is more brutal than anything seen so far, was spreading rapidly across Iraq and Syria. Turkey was initially supporting ISIS with weapons and financially, by buying oil from wells captured by ISIS in Iraq and Syria. Russia directly joined the war in September last year when they started bombing ISIS targets and oil trucks in Syria. This seemed to galvanize the US and its allies to start bombing ISIS targets as well. The Iraqi army had fled in disarray before ISIS advance in 2014 but reorganized and have recently captured lost territory and is preparing to take Mosul back from the terrorists. Syrian government forces have also been making gains which prompted a confident Assad to vow to take every inch of territory back from the rebels. Suddenly the US was talking about peace and agreed a ceasefire with the Russians so that aid convoys could reach civilians. "We --- the Obama administration, the United States is going the extra mile here because we believe that Russia and my colleague have the capability to press the Assad regime to stop this conflict and to come to the table and make peace," said US Secretary of State, John Kerry. We, in India, have seen this many times before. The US is silent when Pakistan attacks us, killing soldiers and civilians, but when we  prepare to retaliate they come rushing to advise peace. At the same time there is a thundering silence on the relentless massacre of civilians in Yemen by Saudi Arabia. While bombing Yemen's infrastructure Saudi Arabia is blockading Yemeni ports, creating a widespread famine. So what happened to the ceasefire? On 17 September the US bombed Syrian armed forces, killing 62 soldiers and injuring 100. The killing restarted. An enraged Kerry abused Russia at the UN Security Council. Maybe he was angry because US-backed rebels chased American commandos out of al-Rai in Syria. With so much lies and bad faith it will be a fight to the finish. Assad seems ahead at the moment.

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