Shyam Saran, a retired foreign secretary, thinks that Hillary Clinton will be a safe bet for India. Why so? Because, "She visited India with her daughter Chelsea in 1995 as First Lady and has made several visits since." It is one thing to bring her daughter to enjoy tandoori chicken and quite another to be a friend of India in foreign policy. As Secretary of State she visited Pakistan 4 times while she visited India only twice. What was the total US trade with Pakistan last year? In 2015, the US imported $3.7 billion worth of goods from Pakistan and exported $1.8 billion worth, for a total trade of around $5.5 billion. In the same year, India exported $44.8 billion worth of goods and services to the US and imported $21.5 billion worth, for a total trade of $66.3 billion. China was out of sight with total trade worth $599 billion, of which $483 billion was exports to the US and $116 billion was imports from the US. China's importance is reflected by 6 visits by Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State. So, India ranks below China and Pakistan in the order of importance in Clinton's opinion. On Myanmar Saran explained why India had friendly relations with the military regime which ruled the country at the time. "When I added that Myanmar's relative isolation had led to China establishing a dominant position in the country, which was of concern to India she nodded in agreement," he writes. On a visit to India Clinton said,"The United States has always been a Pacific power because of our great blessing of geography. And India straddling the waters from the Indian to the Pacific Ocean is, with us, the steward of these waterways." This is just diplomatic rhetoric because the China has been investing in a string of naval bases along the edges of the Indian Ocean which it calls a string of pearls. The US is bound by its nuclear umbrella agreements with Japan, South Korea and Philippines so if China is kept engaged around the Indian Ocean it reduces the dangers to the US. On terrorists attacking targets inside Pakistan Clinton said,"....you can't keep snakes in your backyard and expect them only to bite your neighbors. Eventually, those snakes are going to turn on whoever has them in the backyard." That is not a support for India. It was a warning to Pakistan not to support Al Qaeda against US and Nato troops in Afghanistan. Bill Clinton appointed a very venomous snake against India as Assistant Secretary of State, namely Robin Raphel who was totally against India. As Secretary Clinton was party to the supply of sophisticated weapons to Pakistan, which are being used to kill Indians. The US has just reiterated that it will not apply sanctions on Pakistan, never mind its crimes against humanity, but had no qualms against applying sanctions on Iran. Clinton could be a safe bet for India but she will be a saviour for Pakistan.
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