Monday, March 05, 2018

Dictators have an advantage over democracies.

Italians have voted for anti-establishment parties, with the Five Star Movement emerging as the largest party with about 32.6% of the vote. The right wing coalition of former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's Forza Italia and the anti-immigrant Northern League is set to get 37%, with 99% of votes counted. The left wing coalition of the present Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, who used extreme violence to try and stop a referendum for independence in Catalonia last year, received only 22.8% of votes. Renzi has resigned. The Five Star Movement was set up by a comedian, Beppe Grillo who is a Eurosceptic and alter-globalist. The result is a reflection of anger of ordinary Italians against the main parties and against Europe for the state of the economy. Just like an angry "basket of deplorables" was instrumental in Donald Trump's upset over Hillary Clinton, so angry Italians have shown the door to mainstream parties. In Germany, Angela Merkel has succeeded in forming a coalition 5 months after general elections because voters showed their anger by giving 12.6% of votes to the anti-immigrant AfD party, which will have 94 seats in the Bundestag. Merkel's open door policy towards migrants has created areas where half the population is foreign, dependent on social security, and where police are afraid to go. While people democratic countries can vent their anger they are helpless in autocracies. Xi Jinping is set to be crowned the undisputed emperor of China by the Communist Party's annual National People's Congress. All other nations are trying to work out the medium to long term implications of this event. Since Mao Zedong no one has accumulated so much power. Mao's Great Leap Forward resulted in the death of 20-30 million people from starvation and forced some people to resort to cannibalism. The more power Xi has the more desirable his head becomes. Censors have banned the children's character Winnie the Pooh, because people compare Xi to it, and the letter 'N' because scientists write 'N>2', referring to the scrapping of the two-term limit. Naturally, Animal Farm has also been banned. Meanwhile, Turkey is gradually becoming like Pakistan, with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan arresting opponents by the thousands and bombing Kurds in Syria. Just as it had shot down a Russian plane over Syrian territory on 2015, so Turkey bombed 36 Syrian troops to death 3 days back. Turkey is part of NATO and is using US supplied planes for its attacks. Weak governments in the West and ruthless dictators, not a good combination.  

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