Thursday, June 22, 2017

Buy F-16s to influence their thinking?

A couple of days back, in a display of unnecessary bravado, a NATO aircraft buzzed an aircraft carrying the Russian Defence Minister, Sergei Shoigu, over the Baltic Sea. A Russian Sukhoi-27 inserted itself between the 2 planes and tilted its wings to show its weapons, making the NATO plane flee. The NATO fighter jet was a F-16. Tata, an Indian multinational, is in talks with Lockheed Martin to build F-16 jets in India, which may result in Lockheed shifting its plant from Fort Worth in Texas to India. In a head to head comparison the Sukhoi seems no match for the F-16. The Sukhoi is capable of a top speed of 1320 mph, has an autocannon capable of firing 1800 rounds of armor piercing high explosive rounds per minute and air-to-air missiles capable of hitting targets 80 miles away at 4.5 mach. The F-16 has a top speed of 1553 mph, its guns can fire 20 mm bullets at 6,600 rounds per minute and it has missiles capable of hitting targets 111 miles away and Sidewinder missiles capable of hitting targets 22 miles away. However, we do not know how good it is in close combat and maybe that's why it fled. So, should we be wasting money on a plane which has reached the end of its shelf life? A Iyer-Mitra wrote that "less than 40% of the F-16 is actually Lockheed technology. The remaining 60% is proprietary technology owned by by hundreds of subsystems manufacturers spread across the globe", some of whom, like those in Turkey, will not transfer their know-how to India. "In the end, India gets a superb fighter and a few thousand jobs but nothing more -- not a monopoly, not innovation, not cutting-edge technology and, certainly not 'strategic autonomy'". Russia is also developing a hypersonic missile capable of flying at 4,600 mph, which is 5 times the speed of sound. The same scramjet technology will be used in Brahmos II that India is developing with Russia. India has a well developed satellite program. It should be possible to put up a chain of satellites which will monitor our borders constantly and link anti-aircraft missiles with the satellites so that they home in on any enemy aircraft crossing our borders. Russia is building a gas pipeline across the Baltic straight into Germany, and bypassing Ukraine. That will raise Russia's share of German gas requirement to 50% and Russia will be able to shut gas supply to Ukraine without affecting supply to its other customers in Europe. Naturally, European countries are unwilling to increase sanctions against Russia. Western sanctions forced Russia to sell cheap oil and gas to China to keep its economy going, so a direct pipeline to Germany may give it more bargaining power. Just as the British have not been able to clear cobwebs of their Empire from their brains the US seems to be locked in a Cold War mindset, unable to see that China is the greatest threat to the world and to the West. An alliance with Russia will make them to see off China+North Korea+Pakistan. That is what India should be whispering to them. While buying outdated planes. 

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