Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Which side do we take in this debate?

On 23 June Britain votes on whether to stay in the European Union in a referendum, which has been labeled Brexit. The Prime Minister, David Cameron is in the Remain camp. He says that the economy will suffer if Britain leaves the EU while the Leave side says that the only way to stop immigration is to get out. With 8 days to go the Leave side has a 7-point lead in opinion polls. So, who are the protagonists? " For the  EU are the prime minister and the leader of the opposition, the governor of the bank of England, the Confederation of British Industry and the Trade Union Congress, the World Bank and the IMF, along with Barak Obama and other international leaders. On the opposite side are those the New Statesman describes as the 'Brexit Odd Squad," writes Mark Tully. So, who are these odd fellows? " ....Boris Johnson, Donald Trump, Putin and Nigel Farage. Farage is the leader of the extreme-right UK Independence Party." You can almost smell rotten eggs. " It is trumpery that is attracting the 'Out' support. Like Trump, the Brexit campaigners are concentrating heavily on immigration, saying Britain must regain control of her borders by ending free movement of of EU citizens." If all these people are so odious why are so many ordinary people supporting them? Because they feel betrayed by the establishment controlled by the elite. " Whether it is dealing with Greece or with Brexit or Donald Trump, elites are batting for their interests and doing so brazenly. The IMF is very much part of that. For them, Trump is an outsider who owes them nothing and hence needs to be stopped. Similarly, Brexit may or may not be good for the Brits. They do not care about it. They know that it is disruptive to their interests and hence must be stopped," writes a consultant. " The only tool of persuasion that they have is scare tactics. That is what they deploy under the circumstances. Their contempt for the intelligence of the public is ill-concealed." The trouble is that the rich and powerful live in expensive houses where they have no contact with immigrants, whereas the poor believe that they are losing out on their entitlements because of immigrants. Cameron faced angry voters at EU debates. The incomprehension of the elite is expressed in strong language. " Democracy may be the preferred form of government, but it is not guaranteed to produce only tolerant and liberal outcomes.....Xenophobia, bigotry and sub-national and ethnic sentiment are never far from the surface when adversity strikes," is an angry response. Or maybe it is just fear of poverty and anger at exclusion. Remember the French Revolution? The shooting in Florida cannot be appeased by oil from the Middle-East. Labeling the justified anger as xenophobia only widens the gap between the elite and the poor. Whose side do we take?

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