Sunday, March 30, 2014

Will history repeat itself?

On 28 June 1914 Archduke Ferdinand of Austria was shot dead in Sarajevo, precipitating World War I. On 28 June this year will be the centenary. So, will history repeat itself? Possibilities are certainly there. Thinking that President Putin would be restrained because of the Winter Olympics held in Sochi in Russia at the end of January the US and Europe instigated an armed coup in Ukraine resulting in the flight of Viktor Yanukovych, the elected president of Ukraine. Russia, with its Black Sea fleet based in Sevastopol, was never going to allow Crimea to be taken over by the NATO. As soon as the games were over Putin instigated a coup in Crimea which held a referendum resulting in Crimea becoming a part of Russia. Meanwhile the interim right wing government in Kiev, along with the neo-Nazi Svoboda, is threatening war against Russia and inviting the west to join in. They have found a sympathetic ear in British Prime Minister, David Cameron who, forever wanting to be Margaret Thatcher, promised ' significant costs ' to Russia, forgetting that Russia is no Libya and Putin, with his KGB training, is not a buffoon like Gaddafi. His mate, Barack Obama, the gasbag, has mocked Russia as a ' regional power '. He is the man who ran from Iraq, allowing Al Qaeda to return, and supplies weapons to Pakistan which the ISI has been passing on to the Taliban to kill US soldiers who are now running away from Afghanistan. Indiscriminate killing of civilians by using drones in Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia has turned citizens of these countries into enemies of the US while talking peace with Iran, while it continues its nuclear weapons program, has turned the previously friendly Gulf states against the US. Naturally, Russia sees this as colossal hypocrisy by western countries who seem to believe that they have the right to attack other nations at will. Meanwhile the most dangerous nation in the world, China, with a fanatic nationalistic population, sees the annexation of Crimea by Russia as a precedent to be used to occupy land of surrounding countries. With its economy slowing down and experts predicting a hard landing the Communist Party might try to divert the people by provoking low grade conflict with its neighbors which could turn into full scale war. Thus we have Putin, a former KGB agent, Obama, a serial killer and a gas bag, Cameron, a sissy who wants to be macho, and China, a cockroach eating uncivilised nation of barbarians. The omens are certainly not good.

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