Among all the hot air which countries are really likely to use nuclear weapons? India? Never. Our politicians and top civil servants are interested only in personal gain and if the nation faces real danger they will run to some other country to be safe. Most have children working in western countries and money stashed abroad to guarantee a luxurious life. China? Unlikely. China is too powerful to face any external danger. Its danger will come from its own people. Russia, France, UK? Unlikely. Will probably never face any existential threat to warrant the use of nuclear retaliation. Israel? Possible if existence is under threat. However the strength of its conventional forces makes it highly unlikely that its enemies will get that much success. Iran? Iran will probably never be allowed to get to that stage. As a last resort the US and the Arabs will combine to bomb its facilities. Like in the first Gulf war Israel will be told to keep its head down. North Korea? Unpredictable may be but not suicidal. The regime will collapse due to economic reasons and will hide in China. United States? Definitely. The only country to have used two atom bombs on innocent people. Americans are convinced that they alone have the God given absolute right to live. The rest of the world is disposable. Pakistan? Very, very possible. The Pakis are comfortable in the knowledge that they have attacked India since 1947 and every time the Congress has gifted them all we gained. If attacked US and China will urge restraint on India, Congress leaders will rush to various capitals with wives and children for ' consultation ' and some shopping. The US will table a resolution in the UN Security Council calling Pakistan a naughty boy. China will veto it. Indians will continue to die.