Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Why is Clinton not winning all 50 states?

Hillary Clinton has a favorable rating of 41.9% and an unfavorable rating of 55.4%. She is said to be favored by young voters but on a late night show she was less popular than 'Robot Chicken' for viewers between the ages of 18 to 49. According to latest polls Clinton has a lead of around 8 points over Trump but according to right wing Fox News it is very tight in North Carolina, Florida and Ohio while Clinton has substantial leads in Pennsylvania and Virginia. All these states are known as battleground states because they maybe won by either side. Clinton has a clear lead in electoral college votes. States which are solid Democrat give 201 votes plus states which lean Democrat give 35 votes, for a total of 236. States which are solid Republican give 158 votes plus those which tend to lean Republican give 33, for a total of 191. So Clinton has to win 34 out of the 111 votes, which means 2 large states, and she romps into the White House. Given the number of outrageous statements made by Trump and the one sided reporting and extreme abuse by the media it is not a surprise that Clinton is ahead, the surprise is that she is not winning all 50 states by more than 20 points. The reasons are her use of private email server while she was Secretary of State, raising money for the Clinton Foundation and not having clear policies of her own. Her use of a private email server has given rise to allegations that her actions could have led to enemies getting access to classified information. Her defense that she did nothing wrong is dubious because she has a law degree from an Ivy League university and ran a highly successful practise, so she has no excuse for breaking rules. There are accusations of impropriety about the Clinton Foundation, set up by her husband Bill, after his second term as president. The Foundation does a lot of good work around the world but there are hints that the Clintons profited personally from its activities. As for policies, she is tied to Obama's policies because of having worked as his Secretary of State for 4 years. Obama needs Clinton to protect his legacy. If Trump is elected he is sure to dismantle Obamacare which is in trouble because of rising costs. Obama worked hard to discourage Vice President Joe Biden from running for president. After denying that he had paid $400 million to free 4 Americans arrested by Iran the Obama administration agreed that the payment was contingent on the prisoners being freed. In short Obama lied. This prompted the former President of Iran, Ahmadinejad to write to Obama to "quickly fix" release of $2 billion attached by the US Supreme Court. If after so much abuse Trump is still within touching distance of Clinton it means that he could still win. The fat lady is not ready to sing any time soon. 

1 comment:

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