Wednesday, March 02, 2011

Bush attacked Iraq because his daddy had been insulted but the US has not learnt from the catastrophe. Its reaction to the events in Libya is an emotional response to the release from prison of al Magrahi, the Lockerbie bomber along with the infantile urge to shoot the bad guy as in a John Wayne movie. If Qaddafi falls it will further energize protesters in Arab states like Bahrain, Oman, Jordan and even Saudi Arabia. Already 6 protesters have been killed in Oman and Yemen, south of Saudi, is boiling. In public Arab governments are supporting US moves against Qaddafi because to do otherwise may further inflame their people but in private they must be hoping that Qaddafi survives or that there is prolonged civil strife in Libya. This will keep oil prices high allowing them to increase social spending to buy off opponents. Countries like Algeria may even want to help Qaddafi. Britain is pushing for a no fly zone over Libya like the one over Saddam's Iraq but Russia has already ruled out such an option. As an oil producer Russia is gaining from rising oil prices while China has banned the word " jasmine." As it becomes progressively irrelevant Britain tries to flex its muscles, behind US skirts of course, to justify its undeserved seat at the UN Security Council. Large numbers of protesters in Libya do not want any military intervention by foreign powers because they have learnt from the destruction of Iraq. The US should try not to get sucked into another illegal war which it cannot afford. Allowing Qaddafi to keep his cash and a hacienda in Venezuela with a bevy of buxom women may work. The lure of Amazons in the Amazon. Phwoar.

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