Thursday, July 28, 2016

Has Hillary Clinton won already?

The Democratic convention is coming to an end. Tonight Hillary Clinton will accept her nomination as candidate for the presidential election in November and they will all go home for the campaigning to begin in earnest. From the speeches it seems that her victory is assured. Even right wing media channels, like Fox News, gives Clinton 201 solid electoral college votes plus 26 which are leaning Democrat, for a total of 227, while Donald Trump has 154 solid votes plus 37 which are leaning Republican, for a total of 191. So, Trump needs 79 more electoral college votes to get to the magic figure of 270 while Clinton needs just 43. Under the electoral college rules a candidate who wins a state by even one popular vote takes all the electoral college votes which makes elections almost impossible to predict. Eulogizing Hillary Clinton, Michelle Obama said," I want a president who will teach our children that everyone in this country matters, a president who truly believes that our Founders put forth all those years ago...." Even if she is a " Hildebeest " Michelle? In his speech today, Barack Obama said," I can say with confidence there has never been a man or a woman, not me, not Bill, more qualified than Hillary Clinton to serve as the President of the United States of America." But she is still second choice, because your party rejected her in 2008. Why are the Obamas campaigning so hard for Clinton, despite deep mutual dislike? Because Obama has no legacy without Clinton. Trump got 13.4 million votes in the primaries, Clinton got 15.9 million and Bernie Sanders got 12.2 million. Clinton has raised 10 times more money than Trump, so she should be a certainty. But doubts still linger. It is not sure that supporters of Bernie Sanders will vote for Clinton after Debbie Wasserman Shultz, the Democratic National Committee chairwoman had to resign after leaked emails revealed how the party had conspired against Bernie Sanders to make sure Clinton won the nomination. Seems that Russia was behind the leaked emails. As Senator and then as Secretary of State Clinton used abusive language against Putin so he hates her. The armed coup in Ukraine was clearly engineered by the west to look like those in Arab countries, known as Arab Spring, and has effectively divided the country in two. Obamacare is in difficulties as insurance companies are running into losses and 8 years after he pomised to close it Guantanamo still remains open. For us in India Obama has been an unmitigated disaster because of his open support for Pakistan and he would have presented Pakistan with another 8 F-16 fighter jets if the Congress had not stopped it. He still has another 6 months to reward his friends for giving him Osama bin Laden in 2011 to win re-election in 2012. For us another 4 years of an Obama clone will be a continuing disaster. Let us hope that fortune favors us. 

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