Monday, July 23, 2012

End of what?

Analysts are claiming that the end game is in sight in Syria after the suicide bombing in which the defence and intelligence ministers, a top general and Assad's brother in law were all killed inside a secure building in Damascus last week. Fierce fighting broke out in several suburbs of Damascus and for a time it seemed that the rebels would manage to capture the city. But would a rebel victory solve the problem in Syria? Indeed is an all out rebel victory possible? The complexity of the situation can be understood from small snippets of news. Dozens of Iraqis living in Syria for decades have had to flee from the Sunni rebels back to Iraq because they are Shia. A Sunni family escaping from Damascus into Lebanon sat nervously in their car because they were afraid of being attacked by Shia Hezbollah. A local mullah offered shelter to several such families in the local mosque. On 18 July a suicide bomber killed 5 Israeli tourists and the bus driver and injured 30 others at the Black Sea city of Burgas in Bulgaria. Israeli Prime Minister, Binyamin Netanyahu has blamed Hezbollah, supported by Iran, for the attack. Iran has vigorously denied the attack, as it did the bombing in Delhi in which a member of Israeli embassy was injured on 13 February this year. A bomb failed to detonate in Tiblisi in Georgia on the same day. On 14 February 2 Iranians were arrested in Thailand with bomb making equipment. These attacks were said to be in revenge for 5 nuclear scientists assassinated inside Iran that Iran blames on Israel. Israel claims that a would be suicide bomber travelling on a US passport in the name of David Jefferson has already entered Britain. After 11 coaches and athletes were killed by the Palestinian Black September group in Munich in 1972 Israel is taking no chances and has sent members of Shin Bet into Britain to guard Israeli athletes at the Olympic village. Teams of Mossad are said to have fanned out across Europe to search for white westerners who have embraced Islam and maybe planning to attack Israelis. Events inside Syria are being guided by outside forces. The rebels are being armed and financed by Saudi Arabia and Qatar under the guidance of the CIA. Iran is helping the Assad regime. Just across the border in Lebanon Hezbollah is quietly watching the situation. Israel suffered a bloody nose when it attacked the Hezbollah in Lebanon in 2006. Hezbollah was said have a stockpile of 13000 rockets and fired more than 4000 into Israeli towns during that conflict. Iran has missiles capable of reaching Britain. Will they calculate that the US is incapacitated till the presidential elections in November? Syria is not Tunisia, Egypt or even Libya. It is certainly fascinating.

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