Sunday, June 28, 2026
Fighting to lose.
"The UN's International Maritime Organization (IMO) has paused the planned evacuation of more than 11,000 stranded in the Strait of Hormuz after a cargo ship passing through the waterway was attacked." "The attack came after Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) had warned that attempts to cross the strait along the route designated by the IMO would be 'unacceptable and completely dangerous' and vessels should communicate with Iran." BBC. Following that unprovoked attack, "The US military attacked Iran...in response to an Iranian drone strike on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz," to which Iran said that, "Iranian naval forces responded by striking US military targets in the region. Tehran did not provide details." Reuters. It is incredible why Iran still has a navy when the US and Israel started attacks on Iran on 28 February (wikipedia), exactly four months to today. They should have destroyed every ship, boat, jetty right at the beginning. After all, ships and boats cannot be hidden in caves like missiles and drones. Starting 4 March, Iran's strategy has been to stop ships carrying oil and gas through the Strait (congress.gov), causing a sharp rise in prices, in order to pressure the US. And so, "Alongside naval deployments and patrols, there have been reported incidents of gunboat fire to keep vessel movement through the Strait minimal," and "Central to sustaining this closure is Iran's use of naval mines, which can be tactically placed across the narrow maritime corridor to deter and deny the movement of ships." ORF. "Certain conventional surface vessels, like war ships or patrol boats, feature mine laying capabilities." Fishing boats can lay certain types. "Mines can also be dropped into the water via air, through either fixed or rotary winged aircraft, Submarines can use their torpedo tunes to lay some mines." Strauss Center. The US military has been attacking boats suspected of smuggling drugs since 2 September. "The US has since struck 59 boats in the Caribbean Sea and eastern Pacific Ocean." At least 205 people have been killed. pbs.org. By now, every Iranian ship, boat, submarine, even inflatable dinghies, should have been destroyed. To allow Iran to engage in such open piracy is probably why the US keeps losing every war since Vietnam. Last week, "The presidents of the US and Iran have signed an initial peace deal aiming to end the war, allowing it to immediately take effect." It includes "reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a $300 billion plan for Iran's 'reconstruction', and the US terminating 'all types of sanctions on Iran'." BBC. This sounds like a complete surrender and Trump haters in the US, Europe and India have been celebrating. Trump's deal is much weaker than the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action negotiated by Barack Obama in 2015. Reuters. Yesterday, "The US struck multiple targets inside Iran for a second straight night...after Tehran allegedly attacked another oil tanker passing through the Strait of Hormuz,...and pushing the already fragile ceasefire to the edge of collapse." NDTV. Soon after the US had lifted the naval blockade on Iran, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said that "Trump had 'out of desperation used all kinds of leverage' to bring the deal about." BBC. Strangely, even as the regime and the media in Iran celebrated a victory over the US, hardliners in Iran warned that the "agreement would turn the Islamic Republic into a 'colony of the United States' and open the Strait of Hormuz to Israel." CNN. If both countries lost, which lost more? The Strait is a body of water. Iran should have nothing that operates on or below the water surface. First control the water Then negotiate for oil.
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