Was it only pomp?

Three days ago, "US President Donald Trump treated Chinese President Xi Jinping to a rare personal airport welcome,...kicking off a pomp-filled state visit aimed at smoothing superpower tensions on everything from AI and trade to Iran." NDTV. As Xi left Washington, "The summits between the world's two largest economies featured military flyovers, ceremonial tours and a state dinner, but left unresolved major differences over trade, AI, Taiwan and China ties to Iran." "One tangible outcome of the visit was that the US and China agreed to extend by two months a trade truce that was due to expire on November 10." Reuters. "Xi said he expects to meet Trump two more times this year. Xi extended an invite for Trump and his wife, Melania, to go to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Shanzhen, China, in November." And "again a month later at the G20 summit at the Trump National Doral Miami golf club in Florida." ET. Why was this visit at all necessary? It is not as if China and the US are so friendly that the two were pining for each other, or so bad that a personal meeting was necessary to avert conflict. At 24% Trump's approval rating is the lowest ever and, at 53% to 41% (PBS.org), the Democrats are expecting to sweep both houses of the Congress in the mid term election on 3 November 2026  (ballotpedia.org). This visit is not going to help even one percentage point. "Satellite imagery and intelligence support provided by Chinese groups have helped Iran threaten ships in the Strait of Hormuz and launch precision strikes on US military bases in the Middle East." CNN. "Iran has used a barter-like arrangement to bypass sanctions on its oil sales and buy billions of dollars' worth of goods from China, including military gear," sources told Reuters. On the other hand, China helped contain the rise in the price of oil. "China sharply reduced its crude oil imports during the first half of the Iran war," as "Chinese crude imports averaged 8.1 million barrels per day in the second quarter, nearly 4 million barrels per day, or 32%, lower than in the first three months of the year." Apparently, Beijing had built its strategic petroleum reserve to around 1.4 billion barrels by the end of last year." BT. US blockade of Iranian ports has cut off its exports. "Iran's oil exports, which form the backbone of state revenues and foreign exchange earnings, fell close to zero in July after the US reimposed blockage, down from $4.5 billion in June." "Iranian oil stored at sea beyond the US naval fleet off its coast fell from roughly 180 million barrels to about 60 million in early July." WSJ. China's economy is not as hot as it used to be. "What might once have seemed unthinkable - unrelated adults sharing the same room and even their bed to save money - is emerging as a symbol of the financial pressures confronting many young Chinese." Reuters. This month, "China has imposed a range of sweeping new rules restricting travel in and out of the country in a move that observers say will give the government even more control over its citizens." BBC. Xi Jinping's hurried departure from Delhi after the BRICS summit last week gave rise to rumors that he had suffered a severe ischemic stroke." Mint. But Xi could have been afraid of a military coup back home. "News...of the ruling Politburo's expulsion of two top military leaders, Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, from the Communist Party and the military, signaled the latest move in the long-running crackdown." "Initially the crackdown targeted corruption," "But increasingly it has taken on a political edge." Reuters. Since 2022, over 100 senior People's Liberation Army (PLA) officers have been purged, including 36 generals and lieutenant generals. China Power. Now, Trump is soon to become an extremely 'lame duck' president while Xi can't rest to recuperate because he is terrified of being purged. So, was Trump put on this show to make Xi look good back home, or does Xi have a plan to flood the world with oil, crashing prices and bringing down inflation which will make Trump look good. After continually asking for a deal Trump has rejected a ceasefire offer by Iran (Fox). Is that the result of a conspiracy between Trump and Xi? How will it pan out? So exciting. Suspense.  

A dupatta for protection.

"Prime Minister Narendra Modi today highlighted the achievements of Ayushman Bharat as the initiative marks eight years," and "noted that today more than 600 million beneficiaries have access to Rs 500,000 annual health cover, making it the largest healthcare scheme in the world." pib.gov.in. He forgot to mention that the rates for various procedures fixed by the government (hopehospital.com) may pay for the consumables, but not for doctors' fees and other hospital expenses, such as investigations, utilities and food. It is, therefore, a surreptitious tax on private hospitals and doctors. However, subsidized healthcare is necessary because of an explosion of violent crimes in the country. "For two hours, a Delhi-based creator," "wore a dress, got his makeup done, covered his head and face with a dupatta (a piece of light cloth women use to cover their upper body) and set out on the city streets at night - while recording the experience along the way." "By the end of the two-hour experiment, the creator says the repeated attention had left him shaken." ET. "It is not safe for girls to go out alone at night," he said. Or during the day as well. "Police in India have detained a man after footage appearing to show a car striking a female motorcyclist in the city of Gurugram near India's capital Delhi sparked national outrage." BBC. The accused, Kalyan Singh Bainsla, was arrested from Rajasthan. At the police station he said "he wanted to urinate before attempting to flee. He allegedly ran away but fell and sustained injuries before police caught him again." TOI. After the gang rape of a 17-year-old girl in a public park in Kalkaji's Astha Kunj area, "as students of gathered outside Lady Shri Ram College for Women in South Delhi to March for their own safety, many of them had wrapped dupattas and scarves across their faces or pulled on masks." They were afraid authorities might punish them. TN. Indians have to protect themselves from authorities in case the criminal is a relative or friend of a politician or a high official. "The annual summary revision of electoral rolls, an exercise that facilitates the inclusion of 18-year-olds into the electoral rolls, has been delayed past its May-June announcement deadline for the year 2026-27," despite two election commissioners Sukhbir Singh Sandhu and Vivek Joshi 'strongly advocating and urging the need' to resume the practice." The Wire. This may be because of the Cockroach Janta Party, comprised of Gen Z, protests at Jantar Mantar in Delhi in June-July which forced the resignation of the Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan (wikipedia). "This came as the Modi government found itself besieged from multiple sides," with the protesters "shattering Modi's magic among youth through memes, parody and mimicry - so effectively that he took to Instagram at midnight in an unsuccessful bid to recover lost ground on social media." The Diplomat. If you cannot con them, disenfranchise them. There are more than 2,800 Registered Unrecognised Political Parties, or RUPPs. "A month-long BBC investigation examined six RUPPs that reported some of the largest donations in 20232-24. Together they received about 17bn rupees, despite fielding just 15 candidates in the 2024 election. None came close to winning." BBC. So, where is the money going? "Congress MP Rahul Gandhi...alleged with '100% certainty' that elections in India, including the 2024 Lok Sabha polls, were being rigged." ET. If that is true, this government is illegitimate. And passports issued by it. "Our passport is absolutely useless. Can't go anywhere good without waiting for days for the Visa or submitting a thousand pages," wrote Indian entrepreneur Jitendra Emmani on X. ET. Not surprising if we are having to hide our faces from our government. And its vicious stooges. 

Think before toasting.

"The world seems to be raising a toast to the India economy. Fitch Ratings...raised India's FY27 growth forecast to 6.9% from 6.4%, hours after S&P Global Ratings projected 7% growth, up from its earlier 6.6%. Moody's had already raised its forecast to 7% from 6% last week." ET. Great, Patiala pegs all round, except that a slew of ministers and government officials have been accusing the same three rating agencies of bias for years. In June, "The global rating agencies S&P, Moody's and Fitch have been unfair in recognizing India's economic fundamentals and potential, Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said." DH. "India's net direct tax collections rose 12.96% year-on-year as of 17 September of financial year 2026-27, according to data released by the Income Tax Department." Net corporate tax collections rose to Rs 5.56 trillion from Rs 4.65 trillion and non-corporate tax collections increased to Rs 6.16 trillion from Rs 5.81 trillion. ET. So, people must be earning and spending more which is increasing company sales and profits. "Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) includes acquisitions less disposals of fixed assets during the accounting period," and "is expressed as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)." World Bank. It is an indicator of new investments in the economy. "GFCF recorded a strong growth of 11.9% in the first quarter of 2026-27." "The Centre's capex has grown by 30% in the first four months of the year." Capacity utilization in manufacturing is at 75%, bank credit to large industries grew by 18% and "The intent of the private sector to invest is strong," wrote Rajani Sinha. "India's Goods and Services Tax (GST) revenue rose 14.8% y-on-y to Rs 1998.53 billion in August 2026" from Rs 1741.16 billion last year. ET. The cuts in rates of GST since 22 September 2025 have increased the sale of entry-level cars, two-wheelers and large screen televisions. ET. If India's GDP is skyrocketing, people are buying big-ticket items and the government is raking in oodles of taxes, everything must be hunky dory, as we Indians like to say. That being the case, why was it necessary to borrow $133 billion (about Rs 12.7 trillion) in Foreign Currency Non -Resident bonds (FCNR-B) from non-resident Indians (NRI) at very high rates of interest. ET. Gross GST collections grew 3.8% in the first five months of 2026-27 compared to a growth of 9.9% last year, E-way bills, which show movement of goods across the country, grew 10.2% in the first five months of 2026-27 compared to a 14.7% growth last year, while the fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) component of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) grew by less than 1% in the first four months of 2026-27 as against 2.6% last year, wrote Madan Sabnavis. "Consumption in India now is being rebuilt around three new pillars: 1) elite consumption is booming as a new class of owner-operators prospers, 2) middle-class consumption is now financed by credit rather than by income, and 3) the state is withdrawing from providing public services to doling out large cash transfers each year to low-income voters." "Real wages for Nifty 50 employees have been shrinking at 4% a year since FY16. Meanwhile, the true cost of a middle-class life - school fees, hospital bills, transport costs, a decent Thali - compounds at roughly 9% a year," wrote Saurabh Mukherjee & Nandita Rajhansa. "The 'octopus class', according to Mukherjee and Rajhansa, comprises nearly 200,000 families across India, in small towns as well as big cities, or nearly 1 million people, who control nearly 80% of India's wealth." ET. The government is borrowing to give handouts and the middle class is borrowing to spend. What happens when the creditors come knocking? That explains why the rating agencies readily increased our growth rate but are careful about our credit rating. Think before toasting. There's many a slip....So they say.      

Getting very strange.

"Iran yesterday said that it is ready to open the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US eases military pressure and lifts its blockade on Iranian ports, Reuters reported, citing a senior Iranian official." "The comments came after the Iranian military was informed that the US was planning for renewed strikes with the support of regional countries." NDTV. Just three days ago, "Iran has sent seven conditions to the US to end the war in the Middle East, which has now escalated with hostilities between Saudi Arabia and Yemen's Houthis." "Tehran's message is clear and unambiguous; if Washington has to get out of the quagmire it has created itself and not get more entangled in it, it has no choice but to accept Iran's rights and conditions," said the head of Iran's Supreme National Security Council Mohsen Rezaei on X. From seven conditions to one in three days. So, what changed during this time? While it has created choke points for oil tankers at the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb, ironically Iran itself is running out of oil. ""Long lines at gas stations. Strikes by truckers. A government struggling to maintain the subsidies that had helped much of the population keep their heads above water." WSJ. Do you move food to avoid starvation or missiles and soldiers to fight the US? Even a regime that slaughtered over 30,000 unarmed protesters in January (BBC) may not want to see children dying of starvation. The problem is that Iran cannot be trusted. In July, "A ceasefire struck between the US and Iran to pause its full-scale conflict teetered on the edge of total collapse...when the US completed a second round of strikes in retaliation for Iranian strikes on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz." Iran must give up its demand of collecting a toll on every commercial ship. Yesterday, "US President Donald Trump warned that he could annihilate Iran if there is no deal to end the war, but also suggested an agreement could come soon." Reuters. He also said that "he thought the US could make a deal with Iran after mid-term elections are held on November 3." Reuters. That is extremely curious because the Democrats are projected to win both houses of Congress in the election. The Consensus Forecast for the House is 214-201 for the Democrats, with 20 undecided, while Prediction Markets predict 231-201 for the Democrats with 3 undecided. 270towin.com. Predictions for the Senate are closer with 52.4 seats for the Democrats and 47.6 for Republicans. racetothe wh.com. The fractions are probably for seats in swing states. If the Democrats win control of both houses of the Congress they would surely vote to stop Trump from attacking Iran. Already, "The Republican-controlled US Senate has approved a measure demanding that President Donald Trump halt the war in Iran or seek congressional approval before continuing military action." BBC. The Democrats are itching to impeach him. "A large majority of House Democrats declined to follow their leaders in voting to reject an impeachment resolution targeting President Trump over his immigration enforcement policies." Politico. Why not finish the job now? Is it possible that the Hollywood US army has had enough? Maybe, the soldiers want to start preparing costumes for Halloween on 31 October. Terrify the Iranians by wearing Scream masks and shouting "Boo". All together now.

Macaulay and Nehru.

"The 18th BRICS Summit was held at Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi, from 12-13 September 2026 under India's 2026 chairship." wikipedia. As camouflage, "The city has been decked out in signs. Buildings are illuminated. And normal life has come to a near standstill." "The shanties around Munirka, near Vasant Vihar in South Delhi - otherwise known as Embassy land - are all covered up." The Wire. "Indian politicians, outside Kerala perhaps, have never been terrified of the third-rate condition of government schools in their constituencies. Nor have they been terrified by the state of government hospitals, trains, or anything voters use." "Also, where there is some intent, the school conveys India's pathological problem - it treats the poor as poor, and as a problem that must be solved in the cheapest way possible," wrote Manu Joseph. What can be cheaper than putting up screens to hide the wretched slums? When Times of India reporters visited schools ion various states they found classes being held in tin sheds, under a tree or all classes crammed into one room because a local villager was housing his buffaloes in other rooms. TOI. On 6 September, a five-floor building at Satya Niketan, Delhi, undergoing illegal extensions, collapsed, killing seven people. In June, another five-floor building at Huaz Rani collapsed killing 21 people. On 30 May, a four-floor building collapsed killing six people. TNIE. "On the way to the hill town of Ranikhet", an old steel bridge across a river has a plate which "notes the name of the engineer, and the address of the foundry in Liverpool where it was fabricated in 1927." It still carries heavy traffic, while in Bihar, "26 modern concrete bridges have collapsed over the last five years." In Dehradun, the approach road to a Rs 160-million bridge collapsed just 17 days after it opened," wrote Gautam Bhatia. "In the past year, many urban projects have raised a common question: how do designs that look obviously problematic manage to get approved and end up cast in concrete"? HT. The government has forced blending of fuel with ethanol to reduce the import of crude oil. "Ethanol Blended Petrol (EBP) Programme has emerged as a key pillar of India's energy transition. and biofuel strategy." And, "ethanol blending has increased from less than 1.5% in 2013-14 to 20% in 2025-26." pib.gov.in. "But, substituting petrol with ethanol won't make sense if the ethanol itself is imported." In 2019, the government restricted the import of ethanol. "Regardless, India remained a net ethanol importer through 2025, and almost all the imported ethanol was American." "Domestic consumption of industrial ethanol had halved during 2022-24, as distillers preferred selling to oil marketing companies that offered them assured offtake at high administered prices." As a result, "At one point, India was importing over 50% of ethanol used by pharma and chemical industries," wrote Arindam Goswami. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been attacking India's first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru (HT) at every opportunity. So what were Mr Nehru's contributions? After hundreds of years of slavery, India got a Constitution, every man and woman got the right to vote, five Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), three Institutes of Management, Indian Institute of Science, the Defence Research and Development Organisation, the Bhabha Atomic Research Centre and the Indian Space Research Organisation, to name a few, wrote Karan Thapar. Mr Modi also dislikes Thomas Babbington Macaulay, whose law on sedition against the British monarch is still being used  (SCO), and said that the use of English language is "mental slavery" to a conspiracy by Macaulay (DD News). But, Macaulay "sought equal justice and education for all Indians regardless of caste or religion." Dalits celebrate his birthday and call him "Mahatma Macaulay", wrote Swaminathan Aiyar. On 10 June 2026, Mr Modi apparently became the longest serving prime minister. (pib.gov.in). Macaulay gave us English and equality, Mr Nehru gave us the Constitution and institutions which still stand. Mr Modi has given us large screens to hide poverty and collapsing infrastructure. Hence the abuse. 

Either this or that.

India's total fertility rate (TFR) is at 1.9 which is below the replacement level of 2.1 but, if Bihar and Uttar Pradesh (UP) are removed, the TFR drops to 1.6. Worse, Andhra Pradesh and Maharastra are at 1.4, Telangana and Karnataka at 1.5, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal at 1.3, Delhi at 1.2 and Sikkim is at 1.0, noted a working paper by the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM). China realized its mistake of encouraging one child per family, but it is too late. The paper said that India should end its sterilization-linked incentive payments and end "family-planning awards and campaigns framed around population control, as well as removing two-child norm disqualifications across states." ET. As of 2025, China's TFR was "below 1.0, one of the lowest in the world alongside South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore." wikipedia. China's birth rate fell to 5.63 per 1000 while its death rate rose to 8.04 per 1000 people. "In 2016, it scrapped its longstanding one-child policy and replaced it with a two-child limit." In 2021, it allowed up to three children. When that did not work, "More recently, China has offered parents 3,600 yuan ($500) per each of their children under the age of three. Certain provinces are also dishing out their own baby bonuses, including additional payouts and extended maternity leave." BBC. Now, "People in China will pay 13%  sales tax on contraceptives from 1 January, while childcare services will be exempt," and "It also exempts marriage-related services and elderly care from value added tax (VAT)." BBC. "In 2021, China's official report showed a sex ratio of 112 male to 100 female births, compared to a global average of 105 to 106 male to 100 female births. This is down from a high of 118 male to 100 female births from 2002 to 2008." wikipedia. China had a GDP at current prices, nominal GDP, of $19.5 trillion in 2025, while that of India was around $4 trillion in the same year. World Bank. The mortality rate of infants per 1,000 live births in India was 23 in 2024, while that of China was just 4 in the same year. World Bank. India counts the number of girls per 1,000 boys at birth. If the normal sex ratio at birth is 105-106 boys per 100 girls, then the ratio in India should be 943-952 girls per 1,000 boys at birth. However, the ratio at birth for all of India was 929 in the National Family Health Survey (NFHS 5) 2019-21. The ratio is normal for 15 states till Nagaland at 945, and starts dropping from UP at 941 to a low of 838 in Goa. wikipedia. This is because of abortion of female fetuses despite a ban of gender detection by ultrasound. "Research by Pew Research Center based on Union government data indicates foeticide of at least 9 million females in the years 2000-2019." And 86.7% of these were by Hindus (80% of the population). wikipedia. The higher infant mortality in India compared to China could partly be because of intentional killing of baby girls. Comparing female literacy rates of states (wikipedia) with TFR shows that high literacy among women results in lower birth rates but, shockingly, Goa with a very high female literacy rate of 90% has the worst sex ratio at birth. "India is letting go between $700 billion and $1.4 trillion in economic output because millions of women remain outside the workforce, according to a study by Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP)." The Print. The government must work on educating and increasing their employment opportunities if India is to become a developed country. And, if successful, the TFR will fall further and the population will shrink. All this means that you can either become a wealthy country or you can have more babies. You can't have both. As China has found.  

Social Responsibility.

"Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner Tukaram Mundhe has said markups of up to 2,800% on everyday medical consumables used in hospitals 'need to be explained properly'. He has asked the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) to examine whether these should be brought under price control." NDTV. "Union Minister Mansukh Mandaviya...urged doctors to commit to a 'medical social responsibility (MSR)' once a month, asserting that the medical profession is not merely a business but a responsibility towards society." The Print. What about giving up all the perks worth tens of millions of rupees that MPs and ministers get under a 'Politician Social Responsibility (PSR)'? "A hospital or a doctor cannot ordinarily refuse immediate medical assistance where delay may endanger life. The Supreme Court has treated preservation of human life as a paramount obligation flowing from Article 21 of the Constitution." Law Bhoomi. What about dignity of life, protection from criminals and the right to justice? In December 2017, "The Supreme Court has made a candid admission and said it was 'sorry' for the delay for over a decade in commencement of criminal trial due to two conflicting orders passed by a high court judge in a single day in two different by related cases." The aggrieved victim died during the delay. NDTV. "The Supreme Court has more than 96,000 pending cases, with over 10,000 awaiting disposal for more than a decade," as on 23 July 2026. ET. How many victims are dying miserably waiting for justice? Since lawyers charge per appearance (lawspot.in), it is in their interest to prolong a case as long as possible. Has anyone asked lawyers to charge a fixed amount, however long it takes under a 'Lawyer Social Responsibility'?  On 13 June 1997, 59 people died in a fire at Uphaar Cinema in Delhi. The owners of the hall had made unauthorized modifications, increased the number of seats and blocked fire exits. TOI. The case dragged on for 20 years and the millionaire owners, the Ansal brothers, had their fines reduced in the Supreme Court. Gopal Ansal served just one year in prison and Sushil Ansal was freed because of old age. BBC. Young people were incinerated, the old survived. The dreaded Contempt of Courts Act, 1971 prevents any comment in case it 'Scandalises the Court'. 'Scandalising the Court' broadly refers to statements or publications which have the effect of undermining public confidence in the judiciary." PRS. Officers of the Indian Administrative Service (IAS) get enormous salaries and perks, including free healthcare, worth millions. Anuj Jindal. They also get a Dearness Allowance which has reached 60% of basic salary. CNBCTV18. And yet, they are required to pay just Rs 350 for a medical consultation at a private hospital and the government pays derisory amounts for serious medical procedures, requiring very expensive consumable items, under the Central Government Health Scheme. cghs.mohfw.gov.in. For an extremely hazardous and complicated Pancreaticoduodenectomy (Whipple Procedure) (Jason R D'Cruz et al) which takes hours of exhausting surgery, the rate is Rs 24,995, about $260. Since hospitals dare not argue with the government they have to make up their losses from us. Surely, pampered IAS officers earning enormous salaries should pay full fees to the doctors? The FDA Commissioner is right to be concerned about hospital charges. Perhaps he should look at the real gravy train. Scandalizing, isn't it?

Ghalibaf's joke.

"Hours before the US Federal Reserve, the world's most powerful central bank, made one of its biggest calls in three years and raised interest rates by 25 basis points," the Speaker of Iran's Parliament Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf modified a decades old Taylor Rule in economics to 'Straits Taylor Rule', meaning a rate hike is not going to increase oil supplies through both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. "You can't 25bp a chokepoint. Stay unanchored," he joked. The Print. How droll! He must have forgotten that Iranians are facing severe fuel shortages while there is no shortage of fuel, even if more expensive than before, in the rest of the world. "Transporters say they are experiencing fuel problems they didn't face during the active combat of the first month of the war with the US." The Union of Truckers and Drivers said that "they are now out of supplies for a third of every month." WSJ. "As recently as March, Iran exported 1.85 million barrels of crude oil a day, worth $191 million at international prices." Now, "The government has appealed to Iranians to do their part by limiting their consumption of water, electricity and gas." And to use public transport instead of driving. WSJ. "According to statistics from the Statistical Center of Iran, the overall inflation rate for August stood at 89%, while food and beverage inflation surged to a record high exceeding 127%." "The dollar exchange rate has surpassed the 235,000-toman mark, compounding the major shock caused by the hike in gasoline prices to 10,000 tomans." Voice of Emirates. One toman equals 10 rials, so $1 buys 2.35 million rials. Very soon people will be dying of starvation and this Ghalibaf thinks it is hilarious. Ghoulibaf would suit him better. "Iran vowed to respond to a US blockade by pushing more trade overland." But, "Hundreds of trucks drivers are currently stuck at Iran's border with Pakistan," and "The same is happening at Iran's land borders with Turkey, Turkmenistan and Afghanistan, dealing Tehran a self-inflicted blow." WSJ. In desperation, Iran is recruiting support wherever it can find. "Saudi Arabia has closed a critical oil pipeline after it was attacked by drones launched from Iraq." "Saudi Arabia has previously accused Iran-backed militia in Iraq of targeting its oil facilities." BBC. On Thursday last week, Iran's proxy militia the Houthis captured Yemen's strategic port city of Mocha. "Hours later, on Friday, the Houthis captured another key coastal asset, Perim Island, at the mouth of the Red Sea," thus "giving Tehran de-facto control over another key shipping route." CNN. Recently, "New photos...reveal for the first time the widespread damage and destruction of buildings and vehicles at multiple US positions across the Middle East, as a result of Iranian missile and drone attacks." CBS. Three days ago, "Saudi Arabia intercepted and shot down a Houthi drone south of the Islamic holy city of Mecca." BBC. Iran has a history at Mecca. On 31 July 1987, Iranian pilgrims clashed with Saudi armed forces during Hajj at Mecca. wikipedia. So, "With the US and Pakistan rejecting calls for help, Saudi Arabia has reportedly turned to Western allies, including Israel, for assistance as Houthi attacks continue to target cities and infrastructure across the country." Talks with Israel were apparently mediated by CENTCOM. News18. Ironically, "Palestinian Islamist group Hamas' Oct. 7 attack on Israel that killed about 1,400 people aimed to disrupt a potential normalization of ties between Israel and Saudi Arabia sought by Riyadh, US President Joe Biden said." Reuters. Yesterday, "A car-bomb attack on a mosque at a police compound in north-western Pakistan has killed at least 21 people and injured more than 100." The attack was blamed on Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). BBC. And so, after Gaza and Iran almost destroyed, with the Pakistani army in danger of losing control inside the country and the US Hollywood army imitating sitting ducks, Saudi Arabia may reach a deal with Israel. Israel has the guts, knowledge, intelligence and experience to win the war. The US and Gulf states should give it full support. Does Ghoulibaf have a joke for that?   

Growth in rupees, GDP in dollars.

"The Federal Reserve raised interest rates...and flagged more hikes to come in the coming months," as "an energy shock following the start of the US-Israeli war with Iran, and capital spending from the artificial intelligence boom has kept price pressures intense enough that the Fed felt it needed to raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to the 3.75%-4.00% range." Reuters. This had an immediate effect on India. "Sovereign bond yields surged at the open on 17 September, while the rupee tumbled past the 96 dollar mark," and "The benchmark 10-year bond yield climbed to 7.0714% in early trade, up from 7.0524% in the previous session, as bond prices fell." MC. Why does a rise of just 0.019% in government bond yields create such panic? Because, in the 2026-27 Budget, "The government has pegged India's net market borrowing at Rs 11.7 trillion for the next fiscal year, slightly below the level in 2025-26, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said." ET. If you add 0.19% of Rs 11.7 trillion to overall fiscal borrowing and the national debt it does seem like a reason to panic about. "The Indian rupee breached the 96 mark against the dollar for the first time in nearly eight weeks," but, "the currency recovered from its lows to close at 95.93 per dollar, nearly flat from its previous close. Traders said that state-run banks likely sold dollars on the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) behalf, which helped cushion the rupee's fall." FE. "The rupee may need to depreciate further to adjust to the sustained terms of trade shocks even as the trade-weighted real effective exchange rate (REER) fell to 91.75, a level last seen during the 2013 taper tantrum, Axis Bank said in a research report. The rupee has weakened nearly 6% this year." "The RBI is estimated to have sold $250 billion since mid-2023 to defend the local currency, nearly double of the inflows seen through the dedicated dollar-inflows program run between June and August." ET. Who gains when the RBI supports the rupee by selling dollars borrowed at over 6% interest rate (IDBI Bank)? "Foreign portfolio investors (FPI) pulled out nearly Rs 51.09 billion from Indian government securities under the Fully Accessible Route (FAR) in three days through September 15, amid rising crude prices, elevated US bond yields and renewed pressure on the rupee." TT. When they convert their proceeds they get more dollars because the RBI is pushing the rupee up. So, we the taxpayers are paying usurious interest to non-resident Indians (NRI) to borrow dollars and then transferring more of those precious dollars to FPIs because of an artificially stronger rupee by the RBI. The rupee is weak because, "The gap between Indian and US 10-year government bond yields has narrowed to nearly half its long-term average, raising the prospect that a shrinking yield premium could make the Indian debt less attractive to foreign investors and add pressure on the rupee." MC. The reason for the narrow yield spread between the US and India is because the RBI cut it policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) in December 2025 for a cumulative reduction of 125 bps for the whole year, despite noting real GDP growth of 8.2% in Q2:2025-26 (July-September 2025) and projecting real GDP growth of 7.3% in fiscal 2025-26. RBI projected consumer price (CPI) inflation at 3.9% at Q1 and 4% at Q2 of 2026-27. rbi.org.in. In reality, "India's retail inflation has accelerated to 4.82% in August from 4.45% in July," while, "wholesale inflation edged up to 9.92% in August from 9.78% in July." ET. The Fed is focused on inflation, the RBI is like a deer in headlights (wiktionary). Growth is measured in rupees, while the GDP is expressed in dollars (IMF). Rupee sinks, GDP sinks. Growth stunted.     

Self before service.

"Calling upon the 'Gen Z' and 'Gen Alpha' generations to assume leadership and shoulder responsibility, Union Minister Nirmala Sitharaman...urged young graduates to put the nation first and ask what they can contribute to the country rather than asking what the country has done for them." ET. Oh please! John F Kennedy you are most emphatically not. On 20 January 1960, President Kennedy said in his inaugural speech, "Ask not what your country can do for you - ask what you can do for your country." archives.gov. Kennedy commanded Petrol Torpedo (PT) boat 109 during World War II. On 2 August 1943, PT109 was rammed by a Japanese warship and exploded. Kennedy, who had been a member of the Harvard University swim team, swam for over three hours towing an injured sailor. wikipedia. What has Dear Leader risked for India? Please enumerate. And yet, in September 2022, FM Sitharaman "found fault with the Telangana government for not displaying the picture  of Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the fair price shops where rice is distributed to the people below poverty line free of cost." HT. As finance minister surely she is aware that we taxpayers are paying for this election handout? As our children cannot contribute to the nation without education, they were protesting at Jantar Mantar against leak of exam questions when your government hunted them down with pellet guns (BBC) which cause permanent disabilities like blindness. Perhaps if the present lot step down others will get a chance to lead. Two days back, FM Sitharaman "challenged tax professionals and industry bodies to move beyond demands for exemptions and lower rates, asking them to identify provisions that no longer serve the tax system even when their own sectors benefit from them." ET. Why don't our leaders lead by example by trimming all the perks, some of them for life, that they get. Perhaps, if taxes are fair and sensible people would pay. In 2024, you forced the owner of the famous vegetarian restaurant Sree Annapoorna in Coimbatore to apologize in public because he joked, "Madam, a bun doesn't attract GST, but when cream is applied to make it a cream bun, it attracts 12% GST. Customers now say, 'You bring the bun and cream separately, and I'll make the cream bun." TOI. "A few large private banks, along with top law firms wealth managers, are ducking an unwritten ban to handhold Indian promoter and business families to set up family offices in Singapore and other jurisdictions." ET. We do not object to paying tax, but we get nothing for the taxes we pay. "If you look closely at India's macroeconomic indicators - such as the growth rate, inflation numbers, etc. - they project a story of robust financial discipline and economic growth. However, the average household budget portrays a far more fragile reality." "Families are increasingly relying on credit card debt, personal loans, and loans raised against gold to fill the gap between growing expenses and stagnant incomes," wrote Prof Deepanshu Mohan & Srisonia Subramonian. Ms Sitharaman has been finance minister since 30 May 2019 (wikipedia) when the Indian rupee was at 72.15 against on US dollar  (worldtradescanner), while today $1 buys Rs 95.87 (xe.com), a collapse of 32.875% in just seven years. In panic, the RBI has asked banks to borrow $127.2 billion from non-resident Indians (NRI) (Mint) at an exorbitant rate of interest of up to 7%. (Macroindicators). Not a proud record is it? No wonder economist Parikala Prabhakar has joined the "Zero BJP Movement". News Nine. No one likes a brutal fascist  government. Service before self, is our army's motto. The government is the opposite. It will fail.