India Dying.
Friday, August 28, 2026
Scare at midnight.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
Restrained by bonds.
"Major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, are formally independent, a system known as 'monetary dominance'." However at the Fed's annual fathering at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, "The topic of 'fiscal dominance' will be one of the key questions facing the Fed's new chair Kevin Warsh." Fiscal dominance is when the central bank prints money to finance the government's fiscal deficit, which leads to inflation, currency devaluation and a flight of foreign investors. Reuters. The questions have arisen because, "Total US debt has topped $40 trillion for the first time," as "The Treasury's latest daily cash and balances statement showed total public debt outstanding at $40.07 trillion, a total that includes Treasury securities held by the public for $32.266 trillion and intra-governmental debt holdings of $7.782 trillion." Reuters. "A sell-off in US government bonds is pushing up borrowing costs, which could squeeze households, companies, financial markets and the federal budget alike." "Treasury yields are what the government pays to borrow and higher yields raise federal interest costs." Reuters. "Debt levels in developed countries are reaching thresholds that look increasingly unsustainable," and "In addition, massive borrowing by technology companies to fund a buildout of AI infrastructure is competing with demand for government bonds." "In Europe, Germany's 10-year Bund yield touched its highest since 2011, French yields were at their highest since 2008 and Britain's 30-year borrowing costs neared peaks in May that marked the highest levels since 1998." Reuters. Japan is no exception. "For years Japan exported capital to the rest of the world." Today, "Thirty-year Japanese government bond yields are now above 4%." "Fiscal realities are increasingly influencing pricing." For India, "Domestic fundamentals remain supportive, and Indian bond yields continue to offer an attractive carry advantage relative to many developed markets." MC. "India's 10-year government bond yield is around 6.87%, while the US 10-year Treasury yield is in the 4.6-4.7% range, leaving a spread of roughly 2.1-2.3%, or 210-230 basis points." For a foreign investor, "A simplified way of looking at the trade-off is: India bond yield - US bond yield - expected rupee depreciation - hedging cost = effective return advantage. With yield differential now much smaller than it has been historically, even a moderate fall in the rupee can erode the additional return available from Indian bonds." MC. In the Union budget of 2026, The government is estimated to spend Rs 57.473 trillion in 2026-27, 7.7% higher than the revised estimate of 2025-26. Interest payments account for 26% of the total expenditure, and 40% of revenue receipts." "Fiscal deficit in 2026-27 is targeted at 4.3% of GDP." prsindia.org. The government was helped by a record payout of Rs 2.87 trillion excess reserves by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in May 2026. Kotak Neo. The RBI has also kept its policy rate steady at 5.25%, despite projecting headline inflation at 5%. Mint. All this has led to a sell-off of the rupee. And so, "The RBI has decided to shift to a more constant pattern of intervention to support the currency over the past month, thanks to the foreign deposit inflows, whereas previously it would largely step in to curb bigger swings." ET. Bonds are a form of debt. And defaulting on debt is absolute suicide. They act as a stranglehold on governments. No escape.
Wednesday, August 26, 2026
Family first.
Monday, August 24, 2026
Antisocial biscuits.
Sunday, August 23, 2026
Trillions in debt.
Dimagi 'friends'.
"The government's proposal to offer training in artificial intelligence to 10 million people over the next year; free online coaching for competitive and government exams and a nationwide campaign to scout and train future Olympic contenders as announced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his Independence Day speech, outlines the outreach the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has planned to reset the narrative against the party and government." HT. Mr Modi did not clarify who will teach students, for how many hours per day and in what language. Also, Between March and July, there was one blocking order every 68 seconds, on an average, for online content by the government in India. This amounts to around 1,275 every day, nearly 19.5 million in just five months, according to a report by The Indian Express. If petty officials keep blocking the internet at their whim, what will students learn from blank screens? " Students are paying hundreds of thousands for in-person coaching for the Indian Administrative Service (IAS) exams (Vajirao & Reddy), some repeatedly, but cannot qualify. Only 6.2% of candidates clear the IAS selection exam at the first attempt.. Legacy IAS. Salaries in AI jobs are in tens of millions. A Senior Technical Project Manager earns in excess of Rs 18.3 million (Rs 1.83 crore) per year. 6figr.com. If learning AI or passing entrance exams for seats in elite colleges or for IAS training was so easy why are more than 80 million youth "caught in a difficult spot - with no job, no education and no training"? "According to a Niti Aayog report, an estimated 87 million Indians aged 15 to 29 fall into this category." TOI. Because there are no jobs. And so, "The central government is set to step up its outreach to Gen Z with the launch of the 'One Day, One University' campaign, aimed at creating a more direct and interactive engagement with young people." News 18. Since they cannot offer any job what would be the purpose of these visits? Is this an attempt to campaign for next year's assembly elections in several key states (wikipedia)? As for Olympic athletes, "At the recently concluded Commonwealth Games in Glasgow, India finished fourth with 39 medals.Nine winners were backed by Olympic Gold Quest (OGQ), a private company focused on helping Indian athletes win on the global stage. Notably, its financial spending now surpasses even the government's own spending." Mint. Will the government keep our female athletes safe from predators? Early this month, the Delhi High Court acquitted "former Wrestling Federation of India (WFI) president and ex-BJP MP Brij Bhushan Sharan Singh...in the high-profile sexual harassment case filed by six women wrestlers." DH. In the same speech that Mr Modi was promising an abundance of goodies to Gen Z, he said, "We have succeeded in ending armed Naxals (Maoist militants) in the jungle and freeing the country from that crisis. However, while armed Naxals are gone, dimagi Naxals (ideological Naxlas) are looking for an opportunity." "We need to isolate these ideological Naxals and connect the country's young generation toward building a developed nation." The Print. How exactly? By shooting a 19-year-old unarmed student protester 5-6 times with a pellet gun (HT) and maiming him for life? Mr Modi, "who has long cultivated a strongman image" has suddenly gone soft on Instagram. "Modi's timeline, which until a month ago featured carefully curated posts, now also includes more 'candid' content, such as a get-ready-with-me reel and several selfie style addresses to young people, whom he calls 'friends'." BBC. The 'candid' content and selfie style are all carefully choreographed. Will Gen Z fall for Mr Modi's insincere benevolence and deception? What about the parents who have spent millions on their children's education only to see them sitting unemployed and being beaten up? The fear is that the BJP will use every ploy, including fake charges and extreme violence to stay in power. God protect our children. From fascists.