Sunday, March 29, 2026

Is RBI selling gold?

"India aims to attract USD 100 billion in investment and expand explorations acreage to 1 million sq km by 2030," as "India pitched a USD 100 billion upstream investment roadmap and positioned itself as a major destination for global capital at an outreach event on March 24, even as industry leaders warned of geopolitical risks and a complex energy transition." ET. Companies capable of such large investment may be government owned such as Saudi Aramco (Saudi Arabia), Total (France), Gazprom and Lukoil (Russia) and CNPC (China), while ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell and BP are publicly owned with no government control. Quora. Offshore exploration is very expensive. So, will the government be able to change taxes at will, as it does at present? "The government...cut excise duty on petrol and diesel by Rs 10 per liter each," to keep retail prices constant, incurring a revenue loss of Rs 1.70 trillion if it lasts the full financial year. HT. At the same time, "India has reintroduced windfall taxes on fuel exports, setting a levy of Rs 21.50 per liter on diesel and Rs 29.50 on Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF), according to a government order." ET. The Indian government has earned in excess of Rs 40 trillion from higher taxes on fuel since 2015 (ppac.gov.in) which has been a huge contribution to its revenue. While foreign companies may not care how India taxes its citizens, they will definitely object to any windfall tax as that will adversely affect their profits. "India's foreign exchange reserves declined by $11.4 billion to $698.3 billion for the week ended March 20, according to RBI data." "The fall was primarily driven by a sharp drop in gold reserves, even as foreign currency assets posted gains during the period." cnbctv18.com. The price of gold has dropped from an all-time high of $5,589.38 per ounce on 28 January 2026 (cbsnews.com) to around $4,538 this morning (in. investing.com). Although the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) are mum, is it possible that the RBI has sold $13.495 worth of gold from our reserves? "This liquidation outpaced a $2.127 billion rise in foreign currency assets, indicating the RBI may be using gold to manage external pressures or currency defense." "Analysts point out that the RBI's significant forward dollar commitments reduce the real availability of foreign currency assets, potentially pushing effective reserves below vital levels. The RBI's intervention in the spot market to support the rupee, estimated at tens of billions of dollars since late 2024, have limited its capacity to save reserves." whalesbook.com. Remittances from the Gulf, which contribute 38% to total remittances, could fall, putting further pressure on the rupee, according to SBI Funds Management. ET. Will India go bankrupt? It's time the 'godi (lapdog) media' (wikipedia) does what it is supposed to do. Inform the people. The truth.    

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